Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.007797 0.008764 0.009820 0.011061 0.012484 0.014067 0.015968
2025-01-26 0.006224 0.007528 0.009076 0.011059 0.013551 0.016597 0.020636
2025-02-02 0.005576 0.007083 0.008976 0.011552 0.015000 0.019508 0.025934
2025-02-09 0.004912 0.006482 0.008543 0.011481 0.015622 0.021339 0.029990
2025-02-16 0.004465 0.006089 0.008302 0.011590 0.016439 0.023468 0.034695
2025-02-23 0.004023 0.005641 0.007918 0.011422 0.016798 0.024931 0.038561
2025-03-02 0.003748 0.005393 0.007781 0.011580 0.017630 0.027170 0.043926
2025-03-09 0.003453 0.005084 0.007514 0.011497 0.018058 0.028797 0.048482
2025-03-16 0.003105 0.004660 0.007030 0.011015 0.017771 0.029190 0.050920
2025-03-23 0.002896 0.004431 0.006826 0.010958 0.018173 0.030781 0.055727
2025-03-30 0.002826 0.004415 0.006956 0.011462 0.019588 0.034313 0.064732
2025-04-06 0.002592 0.004113 0.006590 0.011077 0.019371 0.034825 0.067833
2025-04-13 0.002389 0.003854 0.006287 0.010794 0.019345 0.035770 0.072149
2025-04-20 0.002253 0.003698 0.006148 0.010796 0.019869 0.037870 0.079349
2025-04-27 0.002205 0.003689 0.006262 0.011275 0.021368 0.042133 0.092161
2025-05-04 0.002080 0.003532 0.006098 0.011206 0.021756 0.044124 0.100054
2025-05-11 0.001990 0.003433 0.006029 0.011312 0.022515 0.047013 0.110694
2025-05-18 0.001873 0.003273 0.005836 0.011149 0.022676 0.048578 0.118260
2025-05-25 0.001805 0.003201 0.005800 0.011302 0.023543 0.051891 0.131132
2025-06-01 0.001714 0.003079 0.005659 0.011222 0.023876 0.053976 0.141061
2025-06-08 0.001587 0.002878 0.005349 0.010753 0.023261 0.053653 0.144019
2025-06-15 0.001514 0.002779 0.005234 0.010697 0.023613 0.055812 0.154817
2025-06-22 0.001503 0.002800 0.005362 0.011187 0.025335 0.061780 0.178771